Thursday, May 25, 2017

The Ups and Downs

A great example of market ups and downs happened today. GameStop (GME) shared their Q1 reports today with lots of things to be happy about. They saw new hardware sales up by 25%, new software sales up 8%, digital sales up 3%, collectibles up 39%, and posted that they expect full-year EPS of 3.10-3.32 points. One would think with all of these positive earning results that they would see a massive price increase but instead Mr. Market decided to rear its ugly head and slam the stock in after hours for a total of -6.3%.

It's time like these that remind me that as much as one may try to predict the market, they can only do so much. And when that happens it's incredibly important for each investor to return to the books, blogs, and teachings that can reassure us that we are still moving forward with whatever certainty we can obtain through financial reports, investor sentiment, and general good-luck guessing. After all, we all have had or will have a day on Wall Street where this kind of shenanigans hits.

It's not for lack of trying to time or beat the market. It's just that investing is hard. There is a science to picking stocks but there is also a lot of luck and for those that believe in the efficient market theory, days like today prove that you really can't predict everything. The market will do what it wants to do and in the fashion that it wishes to do it. That being said, Bloomberg machine or not, we are all a little more humbled when we get taken for a brain-melting and head spinning trading day like GameStop (GME) saw today.


  1. This is why I always felt the market to be irrational. Stocks seemingly go up and down on a whim without much real reason for either move. To combat this you simply need a long term horizon, stick with known quality stocks, diversify and simply hold through the ugly times.

    1. I couldn't agree more. Mr. Market can be quite the you know what some times.

  2. It is though this 'unpredictability' that is the cornerstone of the markets ability to make money. I am not an expert in the subject, but technical analysis probably captures crowd behaviour best for short term entry and exits.